// Research

What we've learned, written down.

Quarterly methodology notes from the team behind CORE APEX. What changed, what didn't, and what the data is saying about the next regime.

METHODOLOGY · Q1 2026 10 min read

Why we widened the session-open filter on EURUSD.

A quiet parameter change after three months of paper-testing. The London open of 2025 became progressively choppier; we widened the entry filter by twelve basis points. Win rate up 3.4 points, average trade unchanged.

Read note →
DRAWDOWN POSTMORTEM 14 min read

August 2024: anatomy of a −9.2% drawdown.

The Yen carry unwind and its second-order effects on our positioning. Four bad days in a row, eleven weeks to recover. What we did, what we considered, and what we didn't change despite the temptation.

Read note →
REGIME 8 min read

The crypto vol regime has structurally changed.

BTCUSD realised vol is now sustained below 45%, down from a 70% average two years ago. We adapted position sizing in November 2025; here's how, and what it implies for risk-adjusted return.

Read note →
METHODOLOGY · Q4 2025 12 min read

Removing trailing stops cost us 0.4 Sharpe.

An experiment we ran in mid-2025. Replacing fixed time-stops with structural trailing stops looked clever in backtest, performed worse live. The unobvious reason: it broke regime-detection's information flow.

Read note →
RESEARCH 20 min read

Why we don't trade earnings, and probably never will.

Earnings reactions are dispersed enough that no liquidity-based signal we've designed has positive expectancy net of vol. Three years of data and seven attempts; we're calling it.

Read note →
METHODOLOGY · Q3 2025 9 min read

Adding USDJPY: what changed, what didn't.

USDJPY went live in September 2025. Why we added it, why we held off for two years before doing so, and the per-instrument constraints in the algorithm that made it feasible to extend the universe.

Read note →

Subscribe to get notes early. Subscribers receive each note one week before public posting, with a more detailed version including per-setup attribution. Get started — $30/mo.